The current El Niño event continues to weaken and is expected to come to an end based on the latest oceanic observations as well as forecasts by a number of climate models around the world. After transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions this summer (June – August), there is an increasing chance that La Niña may start to develop in the latter part of the year.
(Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA)
Figure 1. Sea surface temperature anomalies of 3 - 30 April 2016 in degree Celsius.
1. The next update will be available in the latter half of July 2016.