With sea surface temperatures in the central to eastern equatorial Pacific warming further in the past couple of months, the El Niño has developed into a strong event. Taking into account the latest oceanic observations and forecasts by a number of climate models around the world, the El Niño is expected to persist through this winter (December 2015 – February 2016).
(Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA)
Figure 1. Sea surface temperature anomalies of 2 - 29 August 2015 in degree Celsius.
1. The next update will be available in the latter half of November 2015.