The strong El Niño persisted in the past couple of months. Taking into account the latest oceanic observations and forecasts by a number of climate models around the world, the El Niño is expected to weaken gradually in the coming months, transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions by the summer (June – August) of 2016.
(Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA)
Figure 1. Sea surface temperature anomalies of 29 November - 26 December 2015 in degree Celsius.
1. The next update will be available in the latter half of March 2016.